AI Demands and EV Adoption Drive US Energy Sector Shifts According to BloombergNEF Summit

At the BloombergNEF Summit, experts highlighted four trends reshaping US energy: surging data center power needs, falling renewable costs, a 'messy middle' in EV adoption, and the rise of battery-powered AI robotaxi fleets.

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The US energy sector is facing rapid shifts as artificial intelligence workloads drive surging electricity demand while electric vehicle adoption enters a more complex phase. At the BloombergNEF Summit in San Francisco on January 26–27, 2026, industry leaders, policymakers and financiers outlined four key insights shaping the evolving landscape.

⚡ Key Energy Trends from BNEF Summit 2026

🏢

Data Centers

“Speed to power” is the priority; behind-the-meter solutions and nuclear agreements gaining traction

📊

Renewables Economics

Solar & wind remain most competitive despite subsidy rollbacks; costs continuing to decline

🚙

EV “Messy Middle”

Short-term headwinds from policy changes, but technological wildcards offer acceleration potential

🤖

AI Meets Auto

Robotaxis predominantly electric; EVs ideal for high-mileage autonomous operations

800+ stakeholders attended BNEF Summit San Francisco | January 26-27, 2026

First, data center developers are racing to secure reliable power as grid connection delays and gas-turbine supply constraints tighten capacity. BloombergNEF projects data center demand will more than double to 106 gigawatts by 2035. To bridge the gap, operators are turning to behind-the-meter procurement, restarting retired plants and signing new nuclear agreements. Innovative approaches—such as medium-voltage solid-state transformers, superconducting cables, advanced liquid cooling and virtual power plants—could boost efficiency, but market rules and policy lags remain barriers.

AI Data Center Power Demand Forecast

Current
~50 GW
2025
Projected
106 GW
2035
+112%
Growth Over 10 Years

Source: BloombergNEF Summit 2026

Second, despite recent subsidy rollbacks, renewables and storage maintain favorable economics. BloombergNEF’s latest levelized cost of energy analysis predicts that by 2035, solar costs could fall by 30%, battery storage by 25%, onshore wind by 23% and offshore wind by 20%. Continued investment is also flowing into nuclear, geothermal, long-duration storage, hydroelectric power and carbon management technologies.

Clean Energy Cost Reduction Forecast to 2035

☀️ Solar 30%
30%
🔋 Battery Storage 25%
25%
💨 Onshore Wind 23%
23%
🌊 Offshore Wind 20%
20%

Source: BloombergNEF Levelized Cost Updates

Third, the electric vehicle transition has entered a so-called “messy middle.” With federal incentives under review, US passenger EV sales are expected to decline about 15% in 2026. Yet California—a quarter of the country’s EV market—remains committed to rebates and its zero-emission vehicle mandate. Stakeholders identified potential accelerators, including solid-state batteries, ultra-fast charging and extended-range models to address heavy-duty and off-road segments.

🚗 US EV Market Update 2026

2026 Sales Forecast
↓ 15%
vs. 2025
California Share
25%
of National Sales

💰 California’s EV Support Package

$200M Additional EV Rebates
⚖️ ZEV Mandate Legal Defense
BNEF Summit Poll (86 participants)
Industry Remains Optimistic About US EV Future

Finally, the AI revolution is extending into transportation through electric robotaxis. These fleets leverage onboard batteries to power AI chips and sensors, logging higher mileage and benefiting from lower operating costs and zero tailpipe emissions in urban settings.

Source: BNEF Insights

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