Sub-€25,000 EV Sales Set to Rise Sevenfold in 2026

T&E — Sub-€25,000 EV Sales Set to Rise Sevenfold in 2026
T&E expects EU sales of electric cars priced below €25,000 to rise sevenfold in 2026 versus 2024. The group says nearly 40 new electric models launched in the first half, helping expand the mass-market BEV range.

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Sales of battery-electric cars with starting prices below €25,000 are set to increase sevenfold in the European Union in 2026 compared with 2024, according to a report from Transport & Environment (T&E). The organization linked the increase in affordable models to EU vehicle carbon dioxide targets and said weakening the regulations could slow their introduction.

Almost 40 new electric models launched in the first half of 2026, bringing the number of mass-market battery-electric vehicle models to more than 150. About 60 new models are expected to be released by the end of the year, nearly four times the annual average of 15 new models recorded between 2021 and 2025. The number of available electric models starting below €25,000 has doubled.

EU EV progress · 2026

Sub-€25,000 EV Sales Set to Rise Sevenfold in 2026

Affordable electric choice is expanding as EU car CO2 targets drive record BEV sales and bring smaller, lower-priced models to market.

factor of 7Sub-€25,000 EV salesSet for 2026 compared to 2024.
Reported figureSharevs last year
EU BEV salesJanuary to August; record levels1.64 million BEVs45% more
VW ID. Polo orders10-month waitlistover 40,000 orders
Mass-market BEVsAfter first-half launchesmore than 150 BEVs
Expected launchesEnd of 2026; nearly 4 times averageAbout 60 models
First-half launchesFirst half of 2026Almost 40 models
BEV market shareSecond quarter of 202622% share22%
Annual launch averagePer year over 2021-202515 new models
Oil shock cost€53 billionCost to EU road users.
Diesel refuel€30 moreFor a 50-litre tank as of mid-September versus before the Iran war.
EV savingsaround €350Running-cost saving by mid-September if switched at the crisis start.
Affordable choicedoublingModels below €25k; weakening the 2030 target could choke these off by nearly three-quarters.

BEVs outsold pure petrol cars across a full quarter for the first time as model choice and affordability improved.

Targets Drive ChoiceExpected compliance with 2025–2027 targets is driving launches after manufacturers had limited incentives during the flat 2021-2024 targets.
Sub-€25,000 EV Sales Set to Rise Sevenfold in 2026 · BatteryTech Network

EU battery-electric vehicle sales reached 1.64 million units between January and August, an increase of 45% from the same period last year. BEVs also outsold gasoline-only cars across a full quarter for the first time in the second quarter of 2026, when they achieved a 22% market share.

T&E said all European automakers are expected to comply with the EU’s 2025–2027 targets, which it identified as the driver of the new model launches. During the period of unchanged targets between 2021 and 2024, manufacturers had limited incentives to introduce affordable electric models, according to the report. T&E warned that weakening the 2030 target could reduce the rollout of affordable models by nearly three-quarters.

The report also linked electric vehicle demand to higher fuel costs. It estimated that the oil price shock cost EU road users €53 billion. As of mid-September, filling a 50-liter diesel tank cost €30 more than before the Iran war, while switching to an electric car at the start of the crisis would have saved about €350 in running costs by mid-September.

Source: transportenvironment.org

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